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基于轻量多尺度时间卷积网络模型的开关电源退化预测研究

Research on degradation prediction of switching power supplies based on a lightweight multi-scale temporal convolutional network model

  • 摘要: 针对物理模型驱动方法依赖机理先验、典型循环神经网络在复杂非平稳退化信号建模中存在训练效率低和计算负荷大的问题,本研究提出一种面向开关电源退化预测的轻量多尺度时间卷积网络模型。该模型在时间卷积网络结构基础上,利用多尺度膨胀卷积协同建模纹波电压信号中的短时波动特征与长期退化趋势,并引入Dropout正则化、Huber损失函数与早停机制,以提升模型在小样本、强噪声条件下的泛化能力和训练效率。基于所搭建的电容退化试验平台,采集正常、过压和高温等多应力条件下的开关电源纹波电压数据,对所提LMS-TCN模型进行验证。试验结果表明,所提LMS-TCN模型在预测精度和收敛效率方面均具有明显优势,能够较好适应开关电源退化预测中的在线实时应用需求,为开关电源寿命评估与预测性维护提供了一种高效可行的新方案。

     

    Abstract: To address the dependence of physics-model-driven methods on prior mechanism knowledge, as well as the low training efficiency and high computational burden of typical recurrent neural networks in modeling complex non-stationary degradation signals, this paper proposes a lightweight multi-scale temporal convolutional network model for degradation prediction of switching power supplies. Built upon the temporal convolutional network architecture, the proposed model employs multi-scale dilated convolutions to jointly model short-term fluctuation features and long-term degradation trends in ripple signals. Dropout regularization, Huber loss, and an early stopping mechanism are further introduced to improve the generalization ability and training efficiency of the model under small-sample and strong-noise conditions. Based on the established capacitor degradation experimental platform, ripple data of switching power supplies under multiple stress conditions, including normal, overvoltage, and high-temperature conditions, are collected to validate the proposed LMS-TCN model. Experimental results show that the proposed LMS-TCN model achieves clear advantages in prediction accuracy and convergence efficiency, and can well meet the requirements of online real-time degradation prediction of switching power supplies, providing an efficient and feasible solution for their life assessment and predictive maintenance.

     

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